Bitcoin’s Four-Year Cycle Driven by Politics and Liquidity

December 14, 2025

What to Know:

Bitcoin cycle influenced by institutional demand and politics.
Price stability seen post-ETF introduction.
Market reactions linked to macroeconomic trends.

Bitcoin’s traditional four-year cycle remains intact, driven by political and liquidity factors, with institutional support stabilizing the asset, reflected in market performance data through 2025.

Institutional demand, macroeconomic conditions, and regulatory updates are reshaping Bitcoin’s cycle dynamics, impacting its future performance and investor appetite.

Institutional Demand and Political Influence Reshape Bitcoin Cycle

Bitcoin’s traditional four-year cycle persists with new drivers like institutional demand and political factors taking precedence. While halving events once dictated market dynamics, key analysts see a transformation influenced by broader economic circumstances. Institutional investment, particularly through ETFs, stabilizes volatility and reduces drastic price swings.

ETFs Enhance Stability in Bitcoin Markets

Institutional demand has overtaken retail speculation, leading to more stable market conditions. The introduction of Bitcoin ETFs contributed to a decrease in asset volatility. Experts note that political and macroeconomic factors now dominate the cycle, potentially stretching it beyond the usual timeframe.

Cathie Wood, CEO of Ark Invest, stated that institutional buyers have “stabilized the asset,” with price swings becoming less extreme than the 75% to 90% corrections seen in earlier cycles.

Halving Impact Diminishes in Current Bitcoin Cycle

Past halving events triggered distinct bull markets, but the current phase shows reduced impact from supply cuts. Historical data indicate this cycle might extend, with significant price implications. Despite changes, Bitcoin’s cycle aligns roughly with history, supported by strong institutional interest and evolving market strategies.

Disclaimer: The information on this website is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice. Cryptocurrency markets are volatile, and investing involves risk. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Thane Morrison

Thane Morrison is a diligent crypto news author and keen blockchain and digital finance enthusiast. He writes insightfully correct engaging content on Bitcoin, altcoins, DeFi, and NFTs to help readers understand how this relentless, changing world works. Simplification and empowerment are what he really stands for and enables readers to keep their heads in the game when making vital decisions in such a demanding space.