Bitcoin slid to its lowest levels since Trump’s win as Tom Lee crypto forecast points to a bear-market end by April; analysts cite macro and Fed policy context.
Bitcoin slid to its lowest levels since Trump’s win as Tom Lee crypto forecast points to a bear-market end by April; analysts cite macro and Fed policy context.
What to Know:
Market strategist Tom Lee said the crypto bear market may end by April at the latest, setting a clear time-bound thesis for digital assets. The statement centers on cycle dynamics and a prospective turn in sentiment rather than a specific price level.
The claim arrives after a period of sharp swings across major tokens, with investors debating whether recent drawdowns reflect a cyclical correction or a broader bear phase. Framing the decline correctly matters because it shapes how market participants interpret liquidity, volatility, and headline risk.
A defined timeline can influence positioning, hedging, and liquidity provisioning across Bitcoin (BTC) and related equities. If sentiment inflects, the transition from risk-aversion to risk-normalization can compress spreads and reduce forced selling, though timing remains uncertain.
At the time of this writing, Coinbase Global (COIN) last traded near 163.95, down about 0.23% after-hours, according to Nasdaq real-time pricing. Equity proxies do not determine token prices, but they can reflect risk appetite for the broader crypto ecosystem.
Editorial context: Lee’s remark is directional guidance, not a guarantee, and depends on external catalysts aligning. “Crypto bear market may end by April at the latest,” said Tom Lee of FS Insight.
As a broader framework, Lee has recently discussed crypto’s four-year cycle dynamics alongside other industry leaders, emphasizing how cycles can compress or extend around macro shocks, according to the Ondo Conference. Cycle awareness can help distinguish a temporary drawdown from a regime change, but any inflection remains path-dependent.
In mid-March 2025, Lee framed early April as a potential relief point tied to policy developments and sentiment reset, including the April 2 “Liberation Day” marker around tariff uncertainty, as reported by Wall Street Pit. He also conditioned a durable rebound on signs of monetary easing, such as clearer prospects for interest-rate cuts.
If those conditions slip or arrive unevenly, the timeline could extend and price action could remain choppy. Conversely, simultaneous improvement in trade-policy clarity and rate expectations could hasten stabilization, though the magnitude and duration of any rally would still depend on realized liquidity and market depth.
| Disclaimer: The information on this website is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice. Cryptocurrency markets are volatile, and investing involves risk. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor. |
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