Bitcoin’s Transition to Post-Quantum May Take Up to a Decade
- Bitcoin aims to migrate to post-quantum cryptography over 5-10 years.
- Bitcoin’s security upgrade is vital due to quantum threats.
- Potential network congestion during the migration is anticipated.
Bitcoin developer Jameson Lopp, along with five co-authors, proposed a 5-10 year plan to transition Bitcoin to post-quantum security, announced on Bitcointalk on July 16, 2025.
This significant shift addresses the impending quantum threat, potentially impacting Bitcoin’s security infrastructure, with experts expressing urgency due to advancements in quantum computing technology.
Bitcoin’s 5-10 Year Post-Quantum Migration Plan
The migration initiative, proposed by Bitcoin developer Jameson Lopp and co-authors, focuses on replacing current cryptographic signatures with post-quantum solutions. The shift is driven by the increasing threat posed by upcoming quantum computers.
Co-authors including Christian Papathanasiou, Ian Smith, and others, detailed a three-phase migration plan on Bitcointalk. This involves adopting P2QRH outputs and discontinuing ECDSA/Schnorr signatures.
Challenges and Potential Network Impact
There could be network congestion and technical challenges during the transition, as noted in the proposal. Experts warn of the potential for unspendable UTXOs after the initial phase if signatures remain unupdated.
We’re not looking at a distant theoretical threat – we’re potentially 3-5 years away from cryptographically relevant quantum computers. The 5-year Phase B timeline might already be too generous.
— Pmalek, Forum Expert, Bitcointalk
Historical Lessons From Bitcoin’s Upgrades
Previous Bitcoin upgrades, such as SegWit and Taproot, required significant time for adoption, paralleling the anticipated challenges for the quantum migration. Historical data implies extended timelines due to network-wide updates.
Given this track record, experts predict a multi-year effort to fully adapt the Bitcoin network to withstand quantum computing threats, a critical advancement for protecting long-term investments.
For more insights, read the 2025 State of Crypto Agility Report: Preparing for Post-Quantum.
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